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Picks for Nationals

Show Profile  Jamie Posted: 17 March 2005, 3:30 AM  
Forne overrated?? I don't think so the guys an animal.

I was a bit worried about inventing the Mr Inconsistent category.

Just teasing out your vulnerabilities Neil :-)

Show Profile  Neil K Posted: 17 March 2005, 5:34 AM  
Even harder to pick is the 16A grades.

Classic
Thomas
Andrew
Jack

Go on have a go


Rachel
Nicola
Sarah

short
Goergia
Nicola
Kirsty

Simon
Thomas
Jack

Sprint
Jack
Andrew
Simon

Rachel
Cara
Georgia

Show Profile  addison Posted: 17 March 2005, 5:36 AM  
Scary athlete to watch...Edwards (Brent)
Most overrated...Edwards (Brent)
Most likely DNF/No show...Edwards (Brent)
Athlete I'm truly scared of...Edwards (Brent)
1st split in relay...Edwards (Brent)
Mr Inconsistent...Edwards (Brent)
Last...some poor multisporter
All the finish splits...Edwards (Brent) (in the absence of Paul Frith & Me)
Grumpiest...Edwards (Brent) (after been beaten by Me in Fantasy Rugby!).

Show Profile  Neil K Posted: 17 March 2005, 5:41 AM  
A point for every athlete you name in top three. Another point if they are in correct place. M/W21E M/W16A

Show Profile  Greg Posted: 17 March 2005, 4:18 PM  
Classic:
Forne (only if way too long as per normal)
Brent
Neil
(Me - if not overly long and deduct Forne)

Rach
Penny
Reb

Short:
Me
Brent
Karl

Rach
Claire
Penny

Sprint:
Me (They say I'm a sprint specialist)
Brent
Ross

Rach
Claire
Reb

Scary Athlete: goes to Jamie by a country mile, and I'm not talking about results
Most overrated: Anyone from Southern Breeze
Most Likely DNF/No show: Darren and Tania
Athlete I'm scared of: Maria MUTOLA
1st split in relay: Some young buck that will lose it after that
Mr Inconsistent: Jamie
Last: Between Coast to Coast winner or Multi NZ running rep
All the finish splits: Me - bring it on
Grumpiest: Southern Breeze after their ass whipping

This message was edited by Greg on 17 March 2005, 11:23 PM

Show Profile  Jamie Posted: 18 March 2005, 1:54 AM  
And hell will freeze over!

Show Profile  darren Posted: 18 March 2005, 3:19 AM  
Darren will show, but won't be running!
I'll pick Chris to do the triple!

Show Profile  Michael Posted: 18 March 2005, 5:13 AM  
Greg wrote... Classic:
Forne (only if way too long as per normal)

Am I the only one old enough to remember when we couldn't get the long distance long enough?


Show Profile  HeadHoncho Posted: 18 March 2005, 6:31 AM  
No

Show Profile  Chris Forne Posted: 18 March 2005, 7:05 AM  
Classic:
A squall of Southerly Stormers

Short:
Southerly Storm again

Sprint:
Southerly Storm yet again

Most overrated: Greg's sprint finish
Most Likely DNF/No show: North Islanders
1st split in relay: Jamie, who will lose it after that.
Mr Inconsistent: Jamie
All the finish splits: Greg, but it won't count in the absence of Paul Frith.
Grumpiest: North Islanders after getting blown apart by a Storm.


Show Profile  jeffg Posted: 18 March 2005, 8:05 AM  
The Easter forecast is for a deep depression over the southern part of the country.
Classic:
Macnut Northerners

Short:
Northern Nutters and Nutellas

Sprint:
Nuts again.

Eternally grateful for no last finisher votes (so far).

Show Profile  Andrew M Posted: 19 March 2005, 3:51 AM  
New category: No show with greatest past potential.
Stu Barr.

Last years Middle and Sprint results:

M21E 1 Karl Dravitzki EG 29.05 G
M21E 2 Carsten Jorgensen PAPO 29.25 G
M21E 3 Stu Barr NW 30.15 G

M21E 1 Carsten Jorgensen PAPO 13.52
M21E 2 Stu Barr NW 14.11
M21E 3 Chris Forne PAPO 14.17

and in the winning relay team.


This message was edited by Andrew M on 19 March 2005, 10:53 AM

Show Profile  Andrew M Posted: 19 March 2005, 4:25 AM  
Greg's quote |only if its way too long as per normal" got me thinking on this lazy Sat morning.

2004 M21E 1 Carsten Jorgensen PAPO 111.00 G (Waitarere)
2003 M21E 1 Rob Jessop A 109.43 G (Woodhill)
2002 M21E 1 Bruce McLeod D 86.52 G (Tekapo)
2001 M21E 1 Jason Markham PAPO 88.23 G (Roto vegas)
2000 M21E 1 Darren Ashmore A 109.24 G (Wairarapa)
1999 M21E 1 Darren Ashmore LEK 87.16 G (Stillwater ish)

The classic races seem to fluxuiate quite a bit from year to year, as you can see from past results.

There is big difference in physically preparing yourself for a 110min classic race and an 85 min classic race. The tactics you take into the race, nutrition, pacing yourself in the beginning will differ enourmously. Hence is it unfar on competitiors to have to predict how long the classic race will be from year to year.

Lets hope that this years race is close to the 105 min target. The controller for the Classic, Alan Berry also set the 2003 WOA Champs on Smedley on a simliar kind of terrain. The results are below. Could be a hard day at the office, but I guess thats what you want at the National Champs. A race to sort the pansies from the pack.

1 M21E 1 Carsten Jorgensen PAPO 110.50 G
1 M21E 2 Stu Barr W 113.53 G
1 M21E 3 Chris Forne PAPO 115.38 G
1 M21E 4 Mark Lawson NW 117.11 G
1 M21E 5 Darren Ashmore A 121.09 G
1 M21E 6 Neil Kerrison EG 121.45 G
1 M21E 7 Bill Edwards HV 122.56 G
1 M21E 8 Brent Edwards CM 128.52 S
1 M21E 9 James Bradshaw W 131.59 S
1 M21E 10 Bryn Davies RK 137.55 S
1 M21E 11 Jonas Salen SWE 140.00 S
1 M21E 12 Andrew McCarthy HV 150.16 B
1 M21E 13 Todd Oates HB 167.44 I
1 M21E 14 Robert Murphy NW 224.15 I
1 M21E Karl Dravitzki EG DNS
1 M21E Fraser Mills A DNF
1 M21E Johan Palmer SWE DNF

Central Magic should be in good form. Currently entering the superovercompensation phase of training. Bryn and Piret are running the Queen Charlotte track today, im off cycling.

Adios

Show Profile  Andrew M Posted: 19 March 2005, 4:30 AM  
My prediction. Take out Cartsen, Stu and Darren.

1 M21E 3 Chris Forne PAPO 115.38 G
1 M21E 4 Mark Lawson NW 117.11 G
1 M21E 6 Neil Kerrison EG 121.45 G
1 M21E 7 Bill Edwards HV 122.56 G
1 M21E 8 Brent Edwards CM 128.52 S
1 M21E 9 James Bradshaw W 131.59 S
1 M21E 10 Bryn Davies RK 137.55 S
1 M21E 11 Jonas Salen SWE 140.00 S
1 M21E 12 Andrew McCarthy HV 150.16 B
1 M21E 13 Todd Oates HB 167.44 I
1 M21E 14 Robert Murphy NW 224.15 I
1 M21E Karl Dravitzki EG DNS (caught speeding on way to the bay)
1 M21E Greg Flynn H MSI (misplaced sport ident)
1 M21E Jamie Stewart PAPO MSI (misplaced sport ident)

This message was edited by Andrew M on 19 March 2005, 11:32 AM

Show Profile  Greg Posted: 19 March 2005, 5:17 AM  
note on Andrews classic winning times and Michael comment about not being long enough, when did the winning time change to 105?


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